| Information Note |
PDF |
|
| Template for Papers (please prepare your paper using this template) |
DOCX |
|
| Tentative Timetable |
PDF |
|
| Report |
PDF |
|
| Session 4 - Methodology |
| WP 1 Using expert elicitation to build long-term projection assumptions |
PDF |
PDF |
| WP 2 Relational spline-model for interpolating demographic data and population projections |
PDF |
PDF |
| Session 5 - Assumptions on migration |
| Forecasting migration by age, sex and region with extensions of Lee-Carter model |
|
PDF |
| WP 4 Refugee immigration to Sweden, 2012-2018: a comparison of observed and projected numbers |
PDF |
PDF |
| Using administrative and statistical data sources for estimation of international migration trends for Serbia |
|
PDF |
| Session 6 - Assumptions on fertility |
| WP 6 Are surveys on fertility intentions useful in projections? |
PDF |
PDF |
| WP 7 A study on the short-term fertility projection method using marriage rate - Population projections for the Republic of Korea, 2017-2067 |
PDF |
PDF |
| WP 8 Does one have to be healthy to opt to have children in Norway today? |
PDF |
PDF |
| WP 9 Ways to project fertility - how do European countries project fertility and what are their perceptions of current practices? |
PDF |
PDF |
| WP 10 Comparing fertility forecasting methods: how do parametric mixture models perform? |
PDF |
PDF |
| Revision of the fertility model applied in the national population projection for Belgium - integration of structural and cyclical components in the projection of the total fertility rate and the evolution of the fertility schedule |
|
PDF |
| Session 7 - Communicating projections |
| WP 11 Taking the CES Recommendations on communicating population projections one step further: a joint exercise in the European Statistical System |
PDF |
PDF |
| Update on the UNECE Online Database on Population Projections Metadata |
|
PDF |
| Session 8 - Population projections at national level |
| WP 12 Stochastic projections: the New Zealand experience |
PDF |
PDF |
| WP 13 Population projections 2018-2068 in Spain |
PDF |
PDF |
| Session 9 - Assumptions on mortality |
| WP 15 Future mortality in selected European countries, taking into account the impact of lifestyle epidemics |
PDF |
PDF |
| WP 16 European mortality forecasts: Are the targets still moving? |
PDF |
PDF |
| WP 17 U.S. Census Bureau's domestic and international population projections: current approaches to mortality projections |
PDF |
PDF |
| WP 18 Modelling frontier mortality using Bayesian generalised additive models |
PDF |
PDF |
| Session 10 - Workshop on future mortality (organized by Prof. Fanny Janssen) |
| Session 11 - Population projections at sub-national level |
| WP 19 Ex-post analysis of sub-national population projection errors for Ukraine and data quality problems |
PDF |
PDF |
| WP 20 Are we facing regional depopulation in Serbia? A subnational population projection |
PDF |
PDF |