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Joint Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections

Joint Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections

28 - 30 April 2010
Lisbon Portugal
  Document Title ENG
 
Report of the meeting

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19 Jul.10

 WP.1 

Provisional agenda - revised version (27 April)

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18 May 10
2. Key note lectures

 WP.2 

Regional population change and cohesion policy (Ronald Hall, European Commission, DG REGIO)

PPT
17 May 10

 WP.3 

Demographic changes, demographic projections (Maria Filomena Mendes, Portuguese Association of Demography)

PPT
17 May 10
3. Challenges and use of population projections

 SP.1 

Current status and future challenges of the national population projection in Korea with a super-low fertility pattern: a case study through international comparison (Republic of Korea)

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26 Apr.10

 WP.4 

INE-Spain strategy on population estimates and projections: facing the challenge of the statistical measure of the population (Spain)

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17 May 10

 WP.5 

Making use of long-term demographic projections in multilateral policy coordination in the European Union (European Commission, DG ECFIN)

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18 May 10

 WP.6 

Essay on ageing and health projections in Portugal (Portugal)

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21 May 10
4. Constructing assumptions for mortality: data, methods and analysis

 WP.7 

Cohort and period mortality in Sweden in a very long perspective and projection strategies (Sweden)

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17 May 10

 WP.8 

Increasing longevity and decreasing gender mortality differentials: new perspectives from a study on Italian cohorts (Italy)

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17 May 10

 WP.9 

Towards advanced methods for computing life tables (Spain)

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19 May 10

 WP.10 

Estimating life expectancy in small population areas (Portugal)

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17 May 10
5. Constructing assumptions for fertility: data, methods and analysis

 WP.11 

Trend reversal in childlessness in Sweden (Sweden)

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17 May 10

 WP.12 

Is there a fertility convergence across the Member States of the European Union? (Eurostat)

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17 May 10

 WP.13 

Explanations for regional fertility reversal after 2005 in Japan: demographic, socio-economic and cultural factors (Japan)

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17 May 10
6. Forecasting demographic components: fertility

 WP.14 

A stochastic version of the United Nations World Population Prospects: methodological improvements by using Bayesian fertility and mortality projections (United Nations, Singapore and United States)

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17 May 10

 WP.15 

Applying fertility projection system to period effect analysis: an examination on recent upturn in Japan (Japan)

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17 May 10

 WP.16 

Forecasting the number of births in Portugal (Portugal)

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17 May 10
7. Forecasting demographic components: mortality

 WP.17 

Application of age-transformation approaches to mortality projection for Japan (Japan) - paper

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23 Apr.10

 WP.17/ADD.1 

Application of age-transformation approaches to mortality projection for Japan (Japan) - presentation

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18 May 10

 WP.18 

Lee-Carter mortality projection with 'Limit Life Table' (Portugal)

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18 May 10

 WP.19 

Mortality projections in Portugal (Portugal)

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17 May 10
8. Constructing assumptions for migration: data, methods and analysis

 WP.20 

International migration data as input for population projections (Estonia and Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium)

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25 Jun.10

 WP.21 

Prospective immigration to Israel through 2030: methodological issues and challenges (Israel)

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17 May 10
9. Forecasting demographic components: migration

 WP.22 

Dealing with uncertainty in international migration predictions: from probabilistic forecasting to decision analysis (United Kingdom)

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18 May 10

 WP.23 

Model to forecast the re-immigration of Swedish-born (Sweden)

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17 May 10

 WP.24 

The role of social networks in the projection of international migration flows: an agent-based approach (Portugal)

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17 May 10

 WP.25 

Forecasting migration flows to and from Norway using an economic model (Norway)

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25 Jun.10
10. Small population and sub-national population projections

 SP.2 

Using national data to obtain small area estimators for population projections on sub-national level (Sweden)

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27 Apr.10

 WP.26 

How to deal with sub-national forecasts in spatially very heterogeneous countries? Towards using some spatial theories and models (Slovakia)

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17 May 10

 WP.27 

The problematic of population projections in small island states: the case of Cape Verde (Portugal)

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17 May 10

 WP.29 

Austrian regional population projections below NUTS-3 (Austria)

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17 May 10

 WP.30 

Sub-national and foreign-born population projections. The case of Andalusia (Spain)

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17 May 10
11. Beyond population projections by age and sex

 WP.32 

Projections of the diversity of the Canadian population (Canada)

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17 May 10

 WP.33 

Tertiary education enrolment trends and projections in Latvia (Latvia)

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17 May 10

 WP.34 

Projecting race and Hispanic origin for the U.S. population and an examination of the impact of net international migration (United States Census Bureau)

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25 Jun.10
12. Stochastic techniques for demographic projections

 WP.35 

Combining deterministic and stochastic population projections (Italy and Eurostat)

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17 May 10

 WP.36 

A Mate-Matching Algorithm for Continuous-Time Microsimulation Models (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany) - paper

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13 Jul.10

 WP.36/ADD.1 

A mate-matching algorithm for continuous-time microsimulation models (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany) - presentation

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25 Jun.10

 WP.37 

Bayesian population forecasts for England and Wales (United Kingdom)

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18 May 10

 WP.38 

Practical population forecasting by microsimulation: application of the MicMac software (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany)

PPT
18 May 10
13. Stochastic national demographic projections

 WP.39 

Immigration, ethnocultural diversity and the future composition of the Canadian Labour Force (Canada)

PPT
17 May 10

 WP.40 

Developing stochastic population forecasts for United Kingdom: progress report and plans for future work (United Kingdom)

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17 May 10